COD return reserve

Honest cash-on-delivery profit where you make the scale/kill call


What is it?

Cash-on-delivery orders that get refused at the door never get paid — yet they are still booked at full margin. So a COD-heavy campaign looks more profitable than it really is, exactly at the break-even line where you decide to scale or kill it. The COD return reserve holds back a small, modeled share of COD profit so that decision is honest.


How it works

The reserve applies only to COD orders, in proportion to their share. An example:

Example: two campaigns, 3% reserve

Campaign A — 55% COD+40 000 Ft≈ +34 000 Ft
Campaign B — 60% COD+8 000 Ft≈ −2 000 Ft

Without the reserve, Campaign B looked profitable — but it is underwater after COD returns. That is exactly the campaign you would have kept scaling. A campaign with 0% COD is never touched.


Where it shows — and where it does not

The reserve is a decision aid, not an accounting change. It appears in exactly three places:

Campaigns → NCM%

Per-campaign Net Contribution Margin (true profit) subtracts the estimated COD loss.

Profit by channel

The "Net CM" column per channel is shown after the reserve.

Morning verdict

The daily "which campaign is bleeding?" call accounts for the reserve too.

It never touches your books:

  • Profit & Loss (P&L)
  • Profit health
  • Dashboard totals
  • Cost breakdown
  • Products & cohorts

Setting it up

  1. 1

    Open Cost Settings

    Dashboard → Settings → Cost Settings → Global Settings

  2. 2

    Pick a preset or type a custom value

    On the "COD return reserve" card, via the pencil: Off · HU avg (2%) · Conservative (3%), or any custom %.

  3. 3

    Save — it applies instantly

    The Campaigns page and morning verdict refresh immediately. It starts Off (0%) — you choose whether to turn it on.


What is the real Hungarian rate?

About 1–3% of Hungarian cash-on-delivery orders are refused at delivery — most stores 0.5–2% (Ecommerce Hungary’s 2023 survey of ~200 webshops). That is why "HU avg" is 2%. Important: this is a modeled estimate, not measured from your couriers, so treat it as a starting point and adjust to your own experience.

Do not confuse this with returns (voluntary sending-back of paid orders, typically 25–40%) — that is a different risk. This reserve models only COD orders refused at delivery.


FAQ